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China wants to hit a military modernization milestone in 2027.
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But China’s ongoing crackdown on military corruption could disrupt its progress, says the Pentagon.
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China suspended a top military official last month, a year after firing its last defense minister.
China’s near-term military modernization goal could be bogged down by its corruption scandals, a senior US defense official said on Monday.
“The substantial problems they have with corruption that have yet to be resolved certainly could slow them down on the path toward the 2027 capabilities development milestone and beyond,” the official told journalists during a press briefing.
A transcript of the briefing was published on Wednesday, the same day the Defense Department released its annual assessment on China’s military capabilities.
According to the Pentagon’s report, at least 15 high-ranking Chinese military officials and defense industry executives were removed from their positions between July and December 2023.
Last month, The Financial Times reported that defense minister Adm. Dong Jun was under investigation for graft, the third consecutive person in the role to be investigated. A defense ministry spokesperson denied the FT’s report, calling it a “sheer fabrication.”
Also last month, China’s defense ministry said a senior military official, Adm. Miao Hua, was suspended and under investigation for “serious violations of discipline.” The accusation usually refers to corruption.
The 69-year-old oversaw political indoctrination in the People’s Liberation Army and served on the Central Military Commission. The six-person commission, chaired by China’s leader, Xi Jinping, oversees China’s armed forces.
Miao’s suspension came just a year after China’s last defense minister, Gen. Li Shangfu was fired. Li was in office for seven months before he was removed.
Li and his predecessor, Wei Fenghe, were eventually expelled from the Chinese Communist Party for alleged corruption in June. They were also stripped of their military ranks.
“In 2023, a new wave of corruption-related investigations and removals of senior leaders may have disrupted the PLA’s progress toward stated 2027 modernization goals,” the Pentagon’s report said.
Earlier this year, US intelligence highlighted corruption effects including missiles filled with water and intercontinental ballistic missile silos sporting improperly functioning lids that could derail a missile launch.
US intelligence sources told Bloomberg in January that corruption was so severe in China’s Rocket Force and the wider PLA that it would most likely force Xi to recalibrate whether Beijing can take on any major military action soon.
US officials believe that Xi wants China to be ready to invade Taiwan by 2027. China first announced the modernization goal in October 2020. The 2027 milestone will coincide with the centennial of the PLA’s founding.
“That doesn’t mean that he’s decided to invade in 2027 or any other year,” CIA chief William J. Burns said in an interview with CBS in February 2023.
Representatives for China’s defense and foreign ministries did not respond to requests for comment from Business Insider.
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